Izbrani forum: Nepremičnine
Izbrana tema: članek Nepremičninska kriza se širi
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sporočil: 1.544
To kar piše v članku, je pretiravanje. V Španiji naj bi bili na
robu obupa ker vrednost delnic velikih nepremičninskih družb
vztrajno pada in zato nekateri napovedujejo propad treh četrtin
nepremičninskih agencij.
Delnice nepremičninskih družb padajo samo začasno, ker imajo te družbe sedaj pač malo posla. Kupci nepremičnin niso neumni, zato ne kupujejo, saj so po njihovem mnenju še vedno previsoke cene.
Ko pa bodo ob nižjih cenah začeli kupovati, bodo imele nepremičninske družbe spet veliko posla in njihove delnice se bodo dvignile.
Cenejše nepremičnine bodo koristile tako kupcem kot agencijam in morda bomo imeli srečo tudi v Sloveniji, da se bodo cene kmalu znižale tudi pri nas.
So pa cenejše nepremičnine zelo odvisne od slovenskih državnih uradnikov. Občine in država naj odstopijo sedaj prazna občinska in državna zemljišča za gradnjo po ugodni ceni. Država pa naj spremeni sedanjo zapleteno zakonodajo, ki odvrača tuja gradbena podjetja, da bi gradili pri nas. Ko bomo imeli zdravo konkurenco gradbincev na trgu, se bodo cene znižale tudi v Sloveniji.
Znižale se bodo cene vsem stanovanjskim objektom novim in starim. Morda bo kdo, ki ima hišo, pomislil: da to pa že ne bo v redu, saj bo tako njegova hiša manj vredna.
Naj pomisli še enkrat. Ko bodo cene nepremičnin padle, se bo lahko iz svoje stare hiše preselil v večjo novo ob manjšem doplačilu, kot pa sedaj, ko so cene vrtoglavo visoke.
Delnice nepremičninskih družb padajo samo začasno, ker imajo te družbe sedaj pač malo posla. Kupci nepremičnin niso neumni, zato ne kupujejo, saj so po njihovem mnenju še vedno previsoke cene.
Ko pa bodo ob nižjih cenah začeli kupovati, bodo imele nepremičninske družbe spet veliko posla in njihove delnice se bodo dvignile.
Cenejše nepremičnine bodo koristile tako kupcem kot agencijam in morda bomo imeli srečo tudi v Sloveniji, da se bodo cene kmalu znižale tudi pri nas.
So pa cenejše nepremičnine zelo odvisne od slovenskih državnih uradnikov. Občine in država naj odstopijo sedaj prazna občinska in državna zemljišča za gradnjo po ugodni ceni. Država pa naj spremeni sedanjo zapleteno zakonodajo, ki odvrača tuja gradbena podjetja, da bi gradili pri nas. Ko bomo imeli zdravo konkurenco gradbincev na trgu, se bodo cene znižale tudi v Sloveniji.
Znižale se bodo cene vsem stanovanjskim objektom novim in starim. Morda bo kdo, ki ima hišo, pomislil: da to pa že ne bo v redu, saj bo tako njegova hiša manj vredna.
Naj pomisli še enkrat. Ko bodo cene nepremičnin padle, se bo lahko iz svoje stare hiše preselil v večjo novo ob manjšem doplačilu, kot pa sedaj, ko so cene vrtoglavo visoke.
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Europe Starts to Feel Pinch as U.S. Slowdown Spreads (Update1) By
Simon Kennedy Jan. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The European economy may be
starting to suffer collateral damage from the U.S. subprime
mortgage slump. Banks are making borrowing harder, industrial
production is shrinking and investor confidence is waning just as
the U.S. skirts recession. With the euro's appreciation to a record
hurting exports, more economists are betting the European Central
Bank will be forced to lower interest rates. ``There is a clear
downtrend in the economy now,'' said Michael Schubert, an economist
at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. He revised his ECB forecast last
week and predicts two cuts by October after previously projecting
one in the final quarter. The ECB has so far refused to follow the
Federal Reserve and the Bank of England in lowering borrowing costs
as contagion from the U.S. housing recession spreads, arguing that
inflation pressures are too strong. Government and industry surveys
this week may nevertheless show growth risks are mounting and
finance ministers meet in Brussels today to discuss the outlook.
Europe's manufacturing and services industries probably expanded at
the slowest pace since June 2005 and German business confidence
fell to the lowest in two years, according to surveys of economists
by Bloomberg News. Europe's Stoxx 600 index today extended its
decline to 20 percent since its 6 1/2-year high on June 1,
satisfying the definition of a bear market. The euro fell to a
five-month low against the yen after ECB council member Nout
Wellink said yesterday that growth may slow more than officials had
expected. Credit Costs The slowdown is undermining policy makers'
hopes that the region will avoid the fallout from the subprime
mortgage collapse, which drove up global credit costs. Luxembourg
Finance Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, who will chair today's talks,
said Jan. 14 the European Commission may lower its growth
projection for this year to 1.8 percent from 2.2 percent
previously. That would be the slowest pace since 2005. Industrial
output fell enough in November for economists at Royal Bank of
Scotland Group Plc to declare that manufacturing has slipped into
its first recession since 2001, while investor confidence in
Germany crumbled to the lowest since 1992. European banks will make
it harder for companies and consumers to get loans in the next
three months, an ECB survey showed on Jan. 18. ``The days of easy
credit appear to be over,'' said Martin van Vliet, an economist at
ING Bank in Amsterdam. Royal Bank of Scotland publishes the
manufacturing and services reports on Jan. 23 and the Munich-based
Ifo institute releases business confidence figures a day later.
Bernanke's View Some officials including Fed Chairman Ben S.
Bernanke argue the outlook for Europe is healthier than for the
U.S. Aurelio Maccario, co-head of European economics at UniCredit
Markets & Investment Banking, says there's no reason for ``doom
and gloom'' given that only Ireland and Spain are threatened by the
asset bubbles and the labor market continues to expand. ``We do not
see in Asia or in Europe the slowdown in growth that potentially
we'll be seeing here in the U.S.,'' said Bernanke on Jan. 17.
Still, the tightening of credit threatens to cool company
investment, a plank of Europe's economy last year. Ifo said Dec. 12
it expects investment spending in Germany to grow about 4 percent
this year, less than half the rate of 2007. Stephane Deo, a UBS AG
economist, predicts company profit margins will shrink this year
for the first time in a decade. Support from trade is also being
eroded by weaker foreign demand and the stronger euro. Shipments
rose just 0.3 percent in November from a month earlier, a quarter
of October's increase, the EU's statistics office said Jan. 17.
Focus on Exports With sales to the U.S. already shrinking as the
dollar falls, exports to Britain, the euro region's biggest trading
partner, are also coming under pressure. The pound has dropped 11
percent against Europe's single currency in the past five months.
``Euro-zone exporters will find life increasingly difficult,'' said
Howard Archer, chief European economist at Global Insight Inc. in
London. The euro has appreciated 12 percent against the dollar in
the past year. The worsening outlook may divide opinion on the
ECB's 21- member governing council in coming months. While
President Jean- Claude Trichet warned Jan. 10 that the bank would
act ``preemptively'' if inflation began pushing up wages, other
council members have toned down their language. Inflation
accelerated to 3.1 percent in each of the past two months, the
highest since May 2001 and above the ECB's target of just below 2
percent. Rhetorical Shift Luxembourg's Yves Mersch said in a Jan.
15 interview that the bank should exercise caution amid ``downside
risks to economic activity,'' while Germany's Axel Weber cautioned
not to ``over-dramatize'' a pick-up in inflation. ``Cracks are
starting to show,'' said Ken Wattret, chief euro-area economist at
BNP Paribas SA in London. ``The shift in tone is significant.''
Economists are scaling back their 2008 rate forecasts. Those at ABN
Amro Holding NV now expect the ECB's benchmark to stay at 4 percent
this year, having previously anticipated an increase to 4.25
percent, while David Owen, chief European economist at Dresdner
Kleinwort Group in London, predicts a rate cut by the end of the
year. Michael Hume, chief European economist at Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc., likens the period to 2001 which the ECB began by
betting it could avoid the effect of a U.S. slowdown. By May, it
was cutting rates. ``We suspect the governing council has not
forgotten that lesson,'' said Hume. To contact the reporter on this
story: Simon Kennedy in Paris at skennedy4@bloomberg.net Last
Updated: January 21, 2008 04:37 EST
Upam, da bo kakega potencialnega kupca stanovanja zdramilo
Upam, da bo kakega potencialnega kupca stanovanja zdramilo
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