Reuters danes poroča, da naj bi na Kitajskem delež novih avtomobilov na "nove energije" v letu 2025 znašal 20%, leta 2035 pa že 50%. To napoved naj bi izrekli na konferenci kitajskega združenja avtomobilskih inženirjev.

Sales of new energy vehicles (NEV) in China, the world’s biggest auto market, will jump to 20% of overall new car sales by 2025 from just 5% now, and to 50% by 2035, the China Society of Automotive Engineers (China-SAE) said on Tuesday.
The association also predicts 95% of NEV sales in 2035 will be battery electric vehicles, while hybrid vehicles will make up the rest, China-SAE president Li Jun, told its annual conference in Shanghai.
Li’s presentation slide showed that China-SAE had slightly lowered its outlook for NEVs for 2025 to 20%, from a 25% goal mentioned in a policy proposal published by China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology last year.
www.reuters.com/arti...KKBN27C08C

Zdaj s strani "neodvisnih inženirjev" napovedana petina ni slab delež, ampak prej s strani oblasti napovedan četrtinski delež bi bil še boljši. Malo nerodno pri Reutersovem prenašanju teh oblastnih in neodvisnih napovedi je to, da ne piše, zakaj tako nihajo. Isti Reuters je pred polčetrtim letom iz Kitajske prenesel napoved oblasti, da bo delež NEV leta 2025 znašal 20%. Po treh letih in pol so povedali isto in spet je glas o njih poletel v svet...

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said in a market “road map” that China’s urbanization drive and the overseas expansion of its automakers would help drive annual vehicle sales up around 25 percent from last year’s total.
Automakers in China, the world’s largest automobile market with sales of 28 million vehicles in 2016, are increasingly pushing into electric and hybrid vehicles to meet stringent new government quotas.
Sales of new energy vehicles should reach 2 million by 2020 and account for more than 20 percent of total vehicle production and sales by 2025, the ministry said. That implied annual NEV sales of over 7 million within the next decade.
www.reuters.com/arti...SKBN17R086

... le da so spomladi 2017 napovedovali 2 milijona NEV v letu 2020, letos pa jih pričakujejo samo 1,1 milijona. Najbrž sem nekje nekaj narobe prebral.

NEVs include battery electric, plug-in hybrid and hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles. The industry expects China to sell around 1.1 million NEVs this year.